Deep Learning Models for Stock Market Forecasting: A Comprehensive Comparative Analysis

Abstract

This study presents a comprehensive comparative analysis of deep learning models for stock market forecasting using data from two prominent stock exchanges, the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Four deep neural network architectures—Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN)—were trained and tested on NSE data, focusing on Tata Motors in the automobile sector. The analysis included data from sectors such as Automobile, Banking, and IT for NSE and Financial and Petroleum sectors for NYSE. Results revealed that the deep neural network architectures consistently outperformed the traditional linear model, ARIMA, across both exchanges. The Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) values obtained for forecasting NSE values using ARIMA were notably higher compared to those derived from the neural networks, indicating the superior predictive capabilities of deep learning models. Notably, the CNN architecture demonstrated exceptional performance in capturing nonlinear trends, particularly in recognizing seasonal patterns within the data. Visualizations of predicted stock prices further supported the findings, showcasing the ability of deep learning models to adapt to dynamic market conditions and discern intricate patterns within financial time series data. Challenges encountered by different neural network architectures, such as difficulties in recognizing certain patterns within specific timeframes, were also analyzed, providing insights into the strengths and limitations of each model.